Whether or not you think human industrial activity is
responsible, it seems that many of the proposed counter-measures will not help
and may even worsen the problems. For example, federal and state governments are
keen to give substantial financial incentives for people to install solar
hot-water systems and solar cell arrays. All the environmentalists are very
enthusiastic about these measures and they cheer on the politicians, albeit with
the rider: "They’re not doing enough on climate change!" or "John Howard’s
asleep on climate change!" or something similarly inane. In the face of such a
barrage, is it any wonder that the politicians and bureaucrats are anxious to be
seen to be "doing something".
However, as described in this and last month’s article on "How
to Cut Your Greenhouse Emissions", pushing solar hot-water and solar cell arrays
is probably not the best way to go. Using solar cells to generate electricity in
domestic installations is simply a poor economic decision. Similarly, a recent
proposal to make some Sydney schools "carbon neutral" by installing large solar
cell arrays is a crazy economic decision. It would make far more sense for those
schools to do the best they can in cutting back energy consumption and then use
their hard-earned budgets to improve their teaching resources.
This is not to say that Australia should not invest heavily in
solar power generation; simply that giving substantial financial incentives for
small domestic installations is probably not the best allocation of scarce
financial resources. Of course, to suggest this as alternative government policy
is likely to bring forth catcalls from the environmentalists with such emotive
labels as "climate change denier".
Similarly, setting up carbon trading schemes seems quite
pointless when you think about it. Planting trees is fine and good for the
environment. Trees do take quite a lot of carbon out of the atmosphere while
they are immature but the trees must exist for all time for the carbon to have
been permanently removed from the atmosphere. The only way to make a permanent
carbon removal is to bury the tree after it dies – not very practical!
Carbon dioxide geo-sequestration is also likely to be extremely
costly, even if it does become workable on a large scale. To us,
geo-sequestration seems to be a futile attempt to postpone the eventual
acknowledgement that coal mining and coal burning do present serious
problems.
Ultimately, as pointed out in the Greenhouse Emissions
articles, we really should make major cuts in carbon dioxide emissions from our
existing coal-fired base-load power stations, particularly those using brown
coal in Victoria. And while gas-fired and nuclear power stations could certainly
lead to major cuts in emissions, a better way for the long term will be to use
our huge geothermal reserves or so-called "hot rocks" such as in the Cooper
Basin in South Australia. While this requires enormous investment to provide and
exploit, the pay-off will ultimately be huge, both in economic terms and for the
environment.
Leo Simpson